Wednesday, 21 November 2012


                                             A Palestinian woman on the rubble of her home

The fighting has not stopped and both sides are trying to edge out each other on negotiations while still firing missiles and rockets into each other territory. Both Israel and Hamas leaders must know that the Middle East region is changing and the new sense of democratic and diplomatic moves must be adhered to in negotiations. No nation or group today can bomb its way into enemies submission, probably Iraq and Afghanistan has shown that to be evident to the world we live in.  Both parties have to work out the best options which will provide adequate peace that would be nurtured for a reasonable period of time before they can sit and talk of a prosperous future where they would live side by side.  

The question now is if any ceasefire is reached, for how long will the ceasefire be ad-heard to between the two parties. The foreign minister of Israel Lieberman, says he expects the ceasefire to last for between 5 and 6 years. Making those in the Middle East to wonder why both Hamas and Israel would have to re-arm themselves for the next couple of seasons. But analyst believe  any slightest mistake from the other side of the divide might cause another round of conflict even while they both observe the cease fire. Many analyst believe the ceasefire can not hold effectively until Israel recognizes the fact that its right to exist in the Palestinian land depends on how it treats the Palestinians.  The Palestinians have to be treated equally before there can be any improvement in the cessation of hostilities and that Israel must stops its policy of land grabbing.

 While Israel demands that Hamas be held responsible for making sure the Gaza Strip's other groups uphold the Palestinian end of the deal. In return, Israel will stop the IAF strikes and the assassinations of militants. However, Israel demands that it retain its right to take militarily action in order to thwart nefarious operations against it in Gaza. Which the Hamas regime in Gaza considers an insult to its integrity as far as it controls Gaza. Hamas has seen itself equal to the regime in Israel and believes it have the right to protect its own citizens just like Israel does against any aggression. 
Expecting that during the second stage, once the cease-fire is given a trial run of sorts, Israel would be willing to open talks with Egypt on Hamas' demands, especially loosening the blockage on Gaza and opening the border crossings. Israel demands that, at that stage, discussions concerning the smuggling of arms into the Gaza Strip will take place and that Egypt will provide assurances to prevent its taking place.
Analyst believe to ignore the Israeli occupation of Gaza farmers land, and the complete siege of Gaza and other Palestinian lands in West Bank in this ceasefire is like just a time out for the two to go and prepare for another round of confrontation which might be coming very soon due to the technological advancement of the Hamas military wing in Gaza during this war. Hamas is willing in every occasion to tell Tel Aviv that it has the capacity to target the capital of Israel in other to get the blockade of Israel removed.
Hamas have establish itself in Gaza and has proven to the world after the Arab revolution that it can advance its cause of the Palestinian people. A better illustration of this is the frequent visits of Arab leaders and diplomats to Gaza to show solidarity to the Palestinians and support the Hamas government and the people of Gaza against Israeli aggression. It was initially expected that Hamas would learn from the Arab governments around the Middle East but the concept has changed and its more like the reverse is the case now. 

Israel should find a diplomatic solution to the crisis now and remove its blockade of Gaza. It should lift the blockade on the sea and in the border crossing because Hamas feels its planning to occupy Gaza again after the withdrawal in 2005.  The world see Gaza as an open prison and believes those in Gaza are suffering in the-same manner which the European Jews suffered in the hands of German Nazis during the 2nd World War. And for that purposes, lifting the siege must be a necessary development in the ceasefire deal or else the ceasefire might not last long before another round of violence takes effect.  Hamas government feels its people are suffering and it has been able to depict that image to the world that Israel is the cause which prompts the supports it receives from both the Middle East and Iran to continue defending  itself. 

Hamas military wing capability and its know-how in military warfare has increased beyond the 2008-09 Israeli "Operation cast led". Probably, it caught everyone by surprise even the Israelis did not expect it, this shows a change in tactics and one can not dispute how its efficiency would be in the next coming years. The resources it needs for its protection and defense will continue to advance even if there is to be a land invasion, military analyst are of the opinion that it will end up being a dangerous attempt for the Israeli.  The Hamas military wing will continue to protect itself and fire with precision new advance underground missiles which is believed gotten from Iran against Israel. The Israeli regime must not let the notion that the only language Israel understand in any dispute is war which is a common thread among the resistance armies in the Middle East become a reality. 

Israeli must gradually work towards the cessation of hostilities and let both sides avoid retaliation on mistakes that might occur between the Israeli Gaza border. It must let peace reign and allow for the free entry of goods and people into and out of Palestinian territory.  Targeted and killing of Hamas leaders must be brought to an end after a cease fire must have been negotiated by the Egyptians and change in rhetoric must be adopted by both sides to facilitate the cease fire quickly. And Hamas must stand by the ceasefire negotiation which it is expected to sign for and do not allow any faction in Gaza to fire rockets into Israel.

To understand the mentality and psychological state of both population in the long age conflict. The Guardian reporter Chris McGreal, reporting from Beit Lahiya, Gaza, quotes a Palestinian named Mohammed al-Khoudry:
"I've really tried to understand the Israelis. I used to work on a farm in Israel. I speak Hebrew. I watch their news. All the time they talk about fear. How they have to run to their bunkers to hide from the rockets. How their children can't sleep because of the sirens. This is not a good way for them to live," said Khoudry, who now scrapes a living growing his own produce.
"We Palestinians don't talk about fear, we talk about death. Our rockets scare them; their rockets kill us. We have no bomb shelters, we have no sirens, we have nowhere we can take our children and keep them safe. They are scared. We are dying."

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